Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Beaublanc
Bergerac Perigord1 - 2Lyon
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bergerac Perigord 2-1 Libourne
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Le Havre 3-1 Lyon
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, January 14 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Bergerac Perigord 0-3 Lyon
Lyon ought to chalk up their loss to Le Havre to their loss of discipline, and Sage's side have otherwise been impenetrable over the Christmas and New Year period - a resilient streak which should recommence on Friday. The five-time winners will be squaring up to fearless opponents who know what it takes to spring a surprise in the Coupe de France, but we cannot envisage such a giant killing this week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 70.51%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bergerac Perigord had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.31%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Bergerac Perigord win it was 1-0 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bergerac Perigord | Draw | Lyon |
11.77% ( 0) | 17.72% ( -0) | 70.51% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.01% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.82% ( 0.01) | 40.18% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.45% ( 0.01) | 62.54% ( -0.01) |
| Bergerac Perigord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.01) | 44.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.62% ( 0.01) | 80.38% ( -0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.8% ( 0) | 10.19% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.53% ( 0) | 33.47% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Bergerac Perigord 11.77%
Lyon 70.5%
Draw 17.72%
| Bergerac Perigord | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 3.68% 2-1 @ 3.42% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 11.77% | 1-1 @ 8.4% 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.72% | 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.31% 1-2 @ 9.58% 0-3 @ 8.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 7.3% ( 0)0-4 @ 5.12% 1-4 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.34% 1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 4.39% Total : 70.5% |
How you voted: Bergerac Perigord vs Lyon
Bergerac Perigord
25.0%Lyon
75.0%28
Form Guide
