Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Oceane
Le Havre3 - 1Lyon
We said: Le Havre 1-2 Lyon
Le Havre have fared well so far on their return to Ligue 1 but could be dragged towards the relegation zone during the second half of the campaign. Lyon are on a roll after such a dreadful start to the campaign, and we reckon that Sage will celebrate his permanent position as Les Gones manager with three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Lyon |
30.5% ( 0.04) | 27.28% ( -0.01) | 42.22% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.8% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
