Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
54.92% (![]() | 22.11% | 22.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.91% | 40.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.54% | 62.46% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.44% (![]() | 14.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.39% (![]() | 42.6% (![]() |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.08% (![]() | 30.92% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% (![]() | 67.21% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Toulouse |
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.67% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.36% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.7% 4-1 @ 3.04% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.78% 5-1 @ 1.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.14% Total : 54.92% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.11% | 1-2 @ 5.98% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.28% 0-2 @ 3.1% 1-3 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.81% Total : 22.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |