Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
3 - 4
Lyon

Diakite (21', 85'), Zhegrova (37')
Gomes (28'), Arnar Haraldsson (80'), Yoro (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Benrahma (65'), Fofana (82'), Lacazette (88'), Balde (90+2')
Nuamah (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Metz 1-2 Lille
Sunday, April 28 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lyon

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lyon 3-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lille 2-1 Lyon

Lille have been outstanding at home, and we are trusting that consistency on Monday, while we believe Lyon may suffer a letdown given their emotional victory against Monaco. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Lille	Draw	Lyon
54.27% ( -1.21)	22.42% ( 0.3)	23.31% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.86% (

-0.35)

41.13% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.47% (

-0.36)

63.53% (

0.35)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.87% (

-0.52)

15.13% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.3% (

-0.98)

43.7% (

0.98)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8% (

0.59)

31.2% (

-0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46% (

0.69)

67.54% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Lille 54.27%

Lyon 23.31%

Draw 22.42%

Lille	Draw	Lyon
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.27%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.42%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.76% Total : 23.31%