Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille2 - 1Aston Villa
The Match
Match Report
Emiliano Martinez is the hero for Aston Villa as the Premier League side come from behind to edge out Lille on penalties in the Europa Conference League quarter-finals.
Team News
Unai Emery makes two changes to his Aston Villa XI for the second leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Sunday, April 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.87%).
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Aston Villa |
62.16% ( 1.39) | 20.15% ( -0.54) | 17.69% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 57.12% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.46% ( 1.06) | 38.54% ( -1.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.16% ( 1.11) | 60.83% ( -1.12) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.1% ( 0.72) | 11.9% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.77% ( 1.51) | 37.23% ( -1.51) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.83% ( -0.3) | 35.16% ( 0.3) |