MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 09:13:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Lille

Brest
1 - 1
Lille

Satriano (79')
Pereira Lage (27'), Lees-Melou (57'), Roy (64'), Locko (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Brest
Saturday, March 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Brest 1-1 Lille

While Brest's defensive record has been excellent this season, it will be hard to stop the in-form David from getting on the scoresheet. Lille have struggled for wins away from home this season with most games ending in draws, so we expect this one to follow this trend and end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (11.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
BrestDrawLille
34.55% (0.925 0.93) 28.56% (0.134 0.13) 36.89% (-1.062 -1.06)
Both teams to score 46.1% (-0.274 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.68% (-0.389 -0.39)60.31% (0.384 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.52% (-0.295 -0.3)80.47% (0.291 0.29)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.426 0.43)32.85% (-0.429 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.47 0.47)69.42% (-0.47499999999999 -0.47)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.851 -0.85)31.34% (0.847 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29% (-0.996 -1)67.71% (0.991 0.99)
Score Analysis
    Brest 34.55%
    Lille 36.88%
    Draw 28.54%
BrestDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.46% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.4% (0.106 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.75% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 34.55%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.29% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 6.93% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.68% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.66% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 36.88%

How you voted: Brest vs Lille

Brest
49.2%
Draw
41.0%
Lille
9.8%
61
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
1-0
Brest
Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')
Feb 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-1
Brest
Diakite (60'), Alexsandro (80')
Djalo (8' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-0
Lille
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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