Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Lille had a probability of 24.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
52.63% ( 0.45) | 23.34% ( -0.05) | 24.03% ( -0.4) |
Both teams to score 56.12% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.46% ( -0.16) | 44.54% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.09% ( -0.16) | 66.9% ( 0.15) |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.08% ( 0.1) | 16.91% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.02% ( 0.18) | 46.97% ( -0.19) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.55% ( -0.42) | 32.45% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.03% ( -0.48) | 68.97% ( 0.47) |
Score Analysis |
Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.33% | 1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 24.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |