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Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lorient logo

Lille
3 - 0
Lorient

David (37'), Cabella (90'), Zhegrova (90+3')
Andre (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Bris (30'), Le Bris (30'), Bakayoko (41'), Pelon (55'), Toure (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 12-0 Golden Lion
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Sochaux 2-1 Lorient
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lille 3-0 Lorient

Their Coupe de France encounter was clearly a mismatch, but Lille now have a thirst for goals and will be seeking retribution versus Les Merlus, who beat them handily earlier this season. Lorient could be reeling from several poor defensive displays and numerous starters away on international duty, and we expect to see Les Dogues pounce on a side who could barely contain a second-tier club last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 71.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawLorient
71.59% (0.63 0.63) 17.55% (-0.217 -0.22) 10.86% (-0.412 -0.41)
Both teams to score 47.43% (-0.684 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.07% (-0.143 -0.14)41.93% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.67% (-0.144 -0.14)64.33% (0.14699999999999 0.15)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.61% (0.121 0.12)10.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.08% (0.27200000000001 0.27)33.92% (-0.27 -0.27)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.93% (-0.835 -0.84)47.07% (0.837 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.46% (-0.639 -0.64)82.54% (0.64099999999999 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Lille 71.58%
    Lorient 10.86%
    Draw 17.55%
LilleDrawLorient
2-0 @ 12.53% (0.2 0.2)
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.13 0.13)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.203 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.13% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.36% (0.142 0.14)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.83% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.031 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 71.58%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.032 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 17.55%
0-1 @ 3.69% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.14% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 10.86%

How you voted: Lille vs Lorient

Lille
81.3%
Draw
18.8%
Lorient
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 3
Lorient
4-1
Lille
Abergel (9'), Ponceau (10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')
Apr 2, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 29
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')
Kone (77')
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')
David (78')
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Lihadji (10'), Jenz (19' og.), Mandava (31')
Soumano (90+1')
Sep 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille126421911822
5Lyon125431916319
6Auxerre126152119219
7Reims125342016418
8Nice1145221111017
9Lens124531312117
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes123271319-611
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers122461321-810
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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