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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
PSG logo

Lens
0 - 2
PSG


Gradit (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 2-2 Monaco (5-6 pen.)
Sunday, January 7 at 1.30pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Revel 0-9 PSG
Sunday, January 7 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lens 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

The old gang should be back together in terms of Lens' centre-back trio, but with lingering doubts over the fitness of several full-backs, PSG's tricky wide men could have a field day at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Twelve months on from Lens' memorable success in this fixture, history should not repeat itself for reigning champions PSG, who are the only Ligue 1 team without an away defeat this term and should maintain that unblemished record in style. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Lens had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Lens win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
29.18% (-0.505 -0.5) 22.62% (0.13 0.13) 48.2% (0.379 0.38)
Both teams to score 63.53% (-0.834 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.09% (-0.95 -0.95)36.91% (0.954 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.91% (-1.038 -1.04)59.09% (1.042 1.04)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.789 -0.79)24.65% (0.793 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83% (-1.122 -1.12)59.17% (1.127 1.13)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (-0.21900000000001 -0.22)15.69% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (-0.412 -0.41)44.75% (0.41699999999999 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Lens 29.18%
    Paris Saint-Germain 48.2%
    Draw 22.62%
LensDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 5.42% (0.128 0.13)
2-0 @ 3.79% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 29.18%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.87% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.078999999999999 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.276 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.63% (0.207 0.21)
1-3 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.1% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.86% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 48.2%

How you voted: Lens vs PSG

Lens
9.7%
Draw
6.5%
Paris Saint-Germain
83.9%
62
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
PSG
1-1
Lens
Messi (68')
Ramos (54'), Verratti (73'), Marquinhos (78'), Neymar (90')
Jean (88')
Danso (9')
Danso (57')
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
1-1
PSG
Fofana (62')
Medina (47'), Gradit (90+2')
Wijnaldum (90+1')
Verratti (63'), Hakimi (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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