PSG3 - 1Brest
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, February 2 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 2-1 Brest
Brest's performance against PSG in the league last month will give them tremendous confidence coming into this match, but it is difficult to back against the Parisians, especially on their home patch. We are expecting another solid performance by the visitors but fancy the 14-time winners of this competition to progress to the last eight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 16.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
63.48% ( 0.4) | 20.15% ( 0.11) | 16.37% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.03% ( -1.47) | 40.97% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -1.51) | 63.37% ( 1.52) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( -0.33) | 12.27% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.7) | 38.02% ( 0.7) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( -1.51) | 38.18% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.05% ( -1.48) | 74.95% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Brest |
| 2-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.52)3-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.62% Total : 63.48% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.31)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.14% Total : 16.37% |
