We said: Trelissac 0-4 Brest
Brest have overcome most teams in Ligue 1 with relatively little fuss over the past two months, seeing them surge up the table, and their fourth-tier opponents should not provide too much of an obstacle for them to surpass.
Trelissac come into this game in fine form themselves, but should Brest field a strong team here, they have very little chance of causing an upset against France's most in-form side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 96.47%. A draw had a probability of 3.1% and a win for Trelissac had a probability of 0.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-3 with a probability of 17.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (16.86%) and 0-2 (14.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (1.95%), while for a Trelissac win it was 1-0 (0.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brest would win this match.