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Coupe de France | Round of 32
Jan 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de la Source
PSG logo

Orleans
1 - 4
PSG

Saint-Ruf (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (16', 63' pen.), Ramos (72'), Mayulu (88')
Beraldo (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Coupe de France clash between Orleans and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Orleans 2-1 Nimes
Saturday, January 6 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Orleans 0-4 Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain made light work of lower league opponents in the last round, and we can see the French giants cruising to yet another comfortable victory come the end of the 90 minutes here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.09%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Orleans had a probability of 11.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-3 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Orleans win it was 2-1 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
OrleansDrawParis Saint-Germain
11.98% (1.196 1.2) 15.92% (0.08 0.08) 72.09% (-1.274 -1.27)
Both teams to score 57.89% (4.25 4.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.41% (3.226 3.23)30.59% (-3.227 -3.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.1% (3.759 3.76)51.9% (-3.758 -3.76)
Orleans Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (4.272 4.27)37.47% (-4.27 -4.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (3.954 3.95)74.26% (-3.955 -3.96)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.58% (0.509 0.51)7.42% (-0.5081 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.27% (1.303 1.3)26.72% (-1.302 -1.3)
Score Analysis
    Orleans 11.98%
    Paris Saint-Germain 72.09%
    Draw 15.92%
OrleansDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 3.48% (0.283 0.28)
1-0 @ 2.73% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.301 0.3)
2-0 @ 1.34% (0.077 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.14% (0.208 0.21)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 11.98%
1-1 @ 7.1% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.474 0.47)
0-0 @ 2.78% (-0.529 -0.53)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.92%
0-2 @ 9.41% (-1.225 -1.23)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 8.15% (-0.829 -0.83)
1-3 @ 8% (0.157 0.16)
0-1 @ 7.23% (-1.156 -1.16)
0-4 @ 5.3% (-0.391 -0.39)
1-4 @ 5.2% (0.231 0.23)
2-3 @ 3.93% (0.5 0.5)
0-5 @ 2.76% (-0.127 -0.13)
1-5 @ 2.71% (0.186 0.19)
2-4 @ 2.55% (0.382 0.38)
2-5 @ 1.33% (0.227 0.23)
0-6 @ 1.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.17% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 72.09%

How you voted: Orleans vs PSG

Orleans
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
Paris Saint-Germain
90.0%
20
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2018 8pm
Round of 16
Orleans
1-2
PSG
Lopy (70')
Le Tallec (30')
Cavani (41'), Diaby (81')
Bernat (82')
rhs 2.0
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