Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 65.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.