Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wolverhampton Wanderers in this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
42.54% ( 0.02) | 26.29% ( 0) | 31.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.62% ( -0.02) | 52.38% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.94% ( -0.01) | 74.06% ( 0.02) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% | 24.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.91% ( -0.02) | 31.09% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.59% ( -0.02) | 67.41% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% 3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.54% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
3 | Poland | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
4 | Austria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |