Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
41.27% ( 0.07) | 26.13% ( -0) | 32.6% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.1% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.68% ( -0) | 51.31% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% ( -0) | 73.14% ( 0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.42% ( 0.03) | 24.57% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.94% ( 0.05) | 59.06% ( -0.05) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.05) | 29.59% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.37% ( -0.06) | 65.63% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.26% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
2 | Chelsea | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 34 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
8 | Bournemouth | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
10 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
16 | Everton | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 15 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 9 |
20 | Southampton | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 5 |
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