We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 Leicester City
Wolves have struggled for consistency at home this season, but Lage's side will be feeling good about themselves at the moment, and Leicester's injury problems mean that they will again be missing a number of key players here. As a result, we are expecting the home side to collect all three points this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 39%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.