Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa4 - 0Ajax
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa record a 4-0 win over Ajax to reach the Europa Conference League quarter-finals.
Team News
Unai Emery makes four changes to his Aston Villa XI for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Ajax.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-4 Spurs
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Premier League
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 Sittard
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.49%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Ajax |
44.42% ( 0.08) | 20.78% | 34.8% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 73.64% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
