UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 15, 2024 at 8pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
2 - 2
Bodo/Glimt

(Ajax win 4-3 on aggregate)

van den Boomen (90+1' pen.), Berghuis (90+7')
Gooijer (85'), Henderson (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gronbaek (16', 63')
Moe (37')
Bjortuft (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Ajax and Bodo/Glimt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 11 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, December 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Given their performance at the weekend, Ajax feel in disarray once again. Nevertheless, they are never short of goals, and we are backing them to run out narrow victors in a thriller that will leave the second leg very much in the balance. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 3-2 (5.05%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
43.16% ( -0.01)	20.7% ( 0)	36.14% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 74.35% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.82% (

-0.01)

24.18% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.16% (

-0.02)

43.84% (

0.02)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.48% (

-0.01)

12.52% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.47% (

-0.02)

38.53% (

0.02)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

-0)

15.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.53% (

-0.01)

43.47% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ajax 43.16%

Bodo/Glimt 36.14%

Draw 20.7%

Ajax	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.16%	1-1 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 7.3% 3-3 @ 3.2% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.7%	1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.19% 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 36.14%