UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 30, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
5 - 2
Lugano

Pellegrino (40', 78'), Fet (52'), Berg (65'), Kapskarmo (88')
Moumbagna (42'), Pellegrino (60'), Zugelj (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Celar (69'), Babic (86')
Mahmoud (45'), Saipi (60'), Cimignani (63'), Hajdari (90+5'), Vladi (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Bodo/Glimt and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brann 4-2 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Lugano

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 0-5 Lugano
Saturday, November 25 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Lugano
65.33% ( -0)	18.19% ( 0)	16.48% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.89% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.76% (

0.01)

31.24% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.33% (

0.01)

52.67% (

-0.01)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

9.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

30.71%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

0.01)

31.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

0.01)

68.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bodo/Glimt 65.33%

Lugano 16.48%

Draw 18.19%

Bodo/Glimt	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.52% 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.63% 1-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 4.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.03% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.62% 5-1 @ 2.21% 5-0 @ 1.94% 5-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 4.21% Total : 65.33%	1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 18.19%	1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 16.48%