Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Yverdon Sport	Draw	Lugano
28% ( -0.02)	22.33% ( -0.01)	49.67% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 63.66% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.66% (

0.01)

36.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.53% (

0.01)

58.46% (

-0.01)

Yverdon Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

-0.01)

25.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.17% (

-0.01)

59.83% (

0.01)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

0.01)

14.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

0.02)

43.4% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Yverdon Sport 28%

Lugano 49.67%

Draw 22.33%

Yverdon Sport	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28%	1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.67%