Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Basel in this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Yverdon Sport
44.91% ( 0.71)	23.45% ( 0.01)	31.64% ( -0.72)

Both teams to score 61.96% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.41% (

-0.37)

39.59% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.06% (

-0.38)

61.93% (

0.39)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.03% (

0.14)

17.97% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18% (

0.24)

48.82% (

-0.24)

Yverdon Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54% (

-0.6)

24.46% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1% (

-0.85)

58.9% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Basel 44.91%

Yverdon Sport 31.64%

Draw 23.45%

Basel	Draw	Yverdon Sport
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.77% Total : 44.91%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.64%