Swiss Super League | Gameweek 8

Sep 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Basel
1 - 1
Luzern

Jovanovic (60')
van Breemen (25')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jasari (81')
Beka (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Yverdon Sport 3-2 Basel
Sunday, September 24 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luzern

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Luzern 2-0 Servette
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Basel	Draw	Luzern
29.19% ( 0.06)	22.87% ( 0.01)	47.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 62.58% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.85% (

0.01)

38.14% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.58% (

0.01)

60.41% (

-0.01)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.73% (

0.04)

25.26% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.97% (

0.06)

60.02% (

-0.06)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.74% (

-0.02)

16.25% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.22% (

-0.03)

45.77% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Basel 29.19%

Luzern 47.93%

Draw 22.87%

Basel	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.19%	1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.93%