Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
swissporarena
Luzern2 - 2Hibernian
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Luzern and Hibernian.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 13 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 Hibernian
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luzern | Draw | Hibernian |
39.72% ( 1.01) | 24.33% ( -0.29) | 35.95% ( -0.72) |
Both teams to score 60.09% ( 0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.4% ( 1.29) | 42.6% ( -1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( 1.27) | 65% ( -1.28) |
Luzern Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.49% ( 1.06) | 21.51% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.43% ( 1.61) | 54.57% ( -1.61) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.56% ( 0.2) | 23.43% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.56% ( 0.29) | 57.44% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Luzern 39.72%
Hibernian 35.95%
Draw 24.33%
Luzern | Draw | Hibernian |
2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.72% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.33% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.38) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 35.95% |
How you voted: Luzern vs Hibernian
Luzern
58.8%Draw
11.8%Hibernian
29.4%17
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-23 19:48:08
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | Switzerland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Scotland | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | Hungary | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Netherlands | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | France | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | Austria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | Poland | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
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