Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3

Aug 6, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Kybunpark

St Gallen
2 - 1
Luzern

Witzig (68'), Vallci (74')
Quintilla (33'), Schubert (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kadak (50')
Jaquez (30'), Ademi (86'), Meyer (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swiss Super League clash between St Gallen and Luzern, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luzern

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Djurgarden
Thursday, August 3 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Both these sides have shown positive and negative signs in the early stages of the season, and there is very little to choose between them coming into this fixture. We expect a very closely-contested match and feel that it will end level at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 38.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.1%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Luzern
38.43% ( 0.22)	23.17% ( -0.06)	38.4% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 64.68% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.29% (

0.27)

36.71% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.12% (

0.3)

58.88% (

-0.3)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

0.22)

19.57% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

0.36)

51.49% (

-0.36)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.42% (

0.04)

19.58% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.49% (

0.07)

51.51% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 38.43%

Luzern 38.4%

Draw 23.17%

St Gallen	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 38.43%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.17%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 38.4%