UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Easter Road Stadium

Hibernian
3 - 1
Luzern

(Hibernian win 5-3 on aggregate)

Newell (46'), Vente (72'), Obita (90')
Newell (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Beka (56')
Jasari (40'), Remo Meyer (63+63'), Meyer (63'), Ademi (64'), Burch (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hibernian and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hibernian

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Hibernian 2-3 St Mirren
Sunday, August 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luzern

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: St Gallen 2-1 Luzern
Sunday, August 6 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	Luzern
35.46%	23.57%	40.96%

Both teams to score 62.85%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.02%

38.98%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.7%

61.3%

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96%

22.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63%

55.36%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.61%

19.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.81%

51.19%

Score Analysis

Hibernian 35.46%

Luzern 40.96%

Draw 23.57%

Hibernian	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.02% 1-0 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 4.27% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.57%	1-2 @ 8.7% 0-1 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 4.76% 2-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.3% Total : 40.96%