Swiss Super League | Gameweek 6

Sep 3, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

swissporarena

Luzern
3 - 2
Lugano

Meyer (19', 22' pen.), Villiger (74')
Dorn (3'), Beloko (64')
Beloko (76')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Espinoza (4'), Vladi (90+6')
Vladi (13'), Bislimi (33'), El Wafi (72'), Grgic (90+8')
Espinoza (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luzern

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Grasshopper 0-1 Luzern
Sunday, August 27 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Lugano

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Lugano 0-1 Union SG
Thursday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Lugano
45.65% ( 1.01)	23.49% ( -0.16)	30.85% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.84% (

0.36)

40.15% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.47% (

0.37)

62.52% (

-0.37)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.1% (

0.55)

17.89% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.31% (

0.94)

48.69% (

-0.94)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.78% (

-0.35)

25.22% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.04% (

-0.48)

59.96% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Luzern 45.65%

Lugano 30.85%

Draw 23.48%

Luzern	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.78% Total : 45.65%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.85%