MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 09:50:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
FC Zurich
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 3
Aug 5, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Letzigrund
Lugano

FC Zurich
3 - 0
Lugano

Afriyie (68', 76'), Okita (80')
Afriyie (71'), Daprela (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swiss Super League clash between FC Zurich and Lugano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Servette 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 St Gallen
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: FC Zurich 1-2 Lugano

While FC Zurich have made a promising start to the season, Lugano have looked in excellent rhythm so far, and their record in this fixture from last season cannot be ignored. They won both away matches against this opponent last term by a one-goal margin, and we expect the same this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.

Result
FC ZurichDrawLugano
47.74% (-2.128 -2.13) 23.87% (0.522 0.52) 28.38% (1.603 1.6)
Both teams to score 58.44% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (-1.229 -1.23)43.35% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (-1.22 -1.22)65.74% (1.22 1.22)
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.68% (-1.287 -1.29)18.32% (1.286 1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.59% (-2.229 -2.23)49.4% (2.227 2.23)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (0.524 0.52)28.45% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.79% (0.655 0.66)64.21% (-0.65600000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    FC Zurich 47.74%
    Lugano 28.39%
    Draw 23.86%
FC ZurichDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 5.34% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.315 -0.32)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 47.74%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.29 0.29)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.276 0.28)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 6.99% (0.286 0.29)
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.438 0.44)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.331 0.33)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: FC Zurich vs Lugano

FC Zurich
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Lugano
50.0%
8
Head to Head
May 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
FC Zurich
2-3
Lugano
Simic (86'), Aiyegun (89')
Matthew (29'), Okita (50'), Katic (77'), Seiler (88')
Hajrizi (18'), Celar (41'), Steffen (90+4')
Espinoza (26'), Steffen (73')
Mar 11, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Aliseda (22'), Sabbatini (45+2')
Nov 6, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 15
Lugano
2-0
FC Zurich
Steffen (12'), Aliseda (71')
Sep 3, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
FC Zurich
1-2
Lugano
Aiyegun (24')
Mets (9'), Avdijaj (26'), Rohner (60'), Selnaes (90')
Steffen (5'), El Amine Amoura (90')
Celar (19')
May 19, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 35
Lugano
2-1
FC Zurich
Sabbatini (4', 28')
Custodio (22'), Sabbatini (35')
Gogia (3')
Kamberi (41'), Gnonto (44'), Kramer (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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