Swiss Super League | Gameweek 33

May 14, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Cornaredo Stadium

Lugano
2 - 1
Winterthur

Aliseda (15'), Arigoni (21')
Hajrizi (90')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ardaiz (16')
Buess (69'), Ballet (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and FC Winterthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 2-2 Lugano
Sunday, May 7 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Winterthur

All competitions

Last Game: Sion 0-1 Winterthur
Saturday, May 6 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lugano in this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
59.27% ( -0.18)	21.4% ( 0.14)	19.33% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 55.86% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

-0.59)

41.67% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.92% (

-0.6)

64.07% (

0.59)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.28% (

-0.25)

13.72% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.03% (

-0.49)

40.97% (

0.48)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.74% (

-0.31)

35.26% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99% (

-0.32)

72.01% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Lugano 59.27%

FC Winterthur 19.33%

Draw 21.39%

Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 59.27%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.39%	1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.33%