Swiss Super League | Gameweek 30

Apr 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

St Gallen
1 - 2
Lugano

Witzig (19')
Guillemenot (36'), Schmidt (61'), Maglica (66'), Ati-Zigi (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Amine Amoura (57'), Bislimi (86')
Arigoni (15')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between St Gallen and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Gallen

All competitions

Last Game: FC Zurich 1-0 St Gallen
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Lugano 2-0 Sion
Sunday, April 23 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.65%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
47.95% ( -0.04)	22.29% ( 0.05)	29.75% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 65.14% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

-0.29)

34.96% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.06% (

-0.32)

56.94% (

0.32)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.94% (

-0.13)

15.05% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.44% (

-0.23)

43.55% (

0.23)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

-0.16)

23.32% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

-0.23)

57.27% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 47.95%

Lugano 29.76%

Draw 22.29%

St Gallen	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 47.95%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.29%	1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 29.76%