Swiss Super League | Gameweek 28

Apr 3, 2022 at 1.15pm UK

Swissporarena

Luzern
2 - 2
Lugano

Ugrinic (59'), Kvasina (86')
Simani (50'), Frydek Jr (53'), Wehrmann (83'), Tasar (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Celar (38', 56')
Celar (50'), Saipi (85'), Lavanchy (90+4')

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

Last Six:

Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Young Boys	35	27	57
4	Lugano	36	-1	57
5	St Gallen	35	1	47

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Lugano
41.18%	25.01%	33.82%

Both teams to score 57.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89%

46.11%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59%

68.41%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.67%

22.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.19%

55.81%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.71%

26.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.58%

61.42%

Score Analysis

Luzern 41.18%

Lugano 33.82%

Draw 25%

Luzern	Draw	Lugano
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 8.8% 2-0 @ 6.6% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-0 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.33% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.87% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25%	1-2 @ 7.86% 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.82%