Swiss Super League | Gameweek 20

Feb 12, 2023 at 1.15pm UK

Cornaredo Stadium

Lugano
1 - 1
Luzern

Celar (37' pen.)
Mahmoud (44'), Hajdari (73'), Valenzuela (77')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Abubakar (16')
Schurpf (17'), Drager (31'), Dorn (36'), Klidje (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Winterthur 1-0 Lugano
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Luzern

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 1-1 Young Boys
Sunday, February 5 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Luzern
42.71% ( -0.11)	24.59% ( 0)	32.69% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 58.33% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.45% (

0.02)

44.54% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.08% (

0.02)

66.91% (

-0.02)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.06% (

-0.04)

20.94% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.32% (

-0.06)

53.68% (

0.06)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.78% (

0.08)

26.22% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.68% (

0.1)

61.32% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Lugano 42.71%

Luzern 32.69%

Draw 24.59%

Lugano	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 42.71%	1-1 @ 11.49% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.69%