UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Aug 3, 2023 at 3pm UK

Ortaliq Stadion

Tobol
1 - 2
Basel

(Tobol win 4-3 on aggregate)

Deble (43' pen.)
Vukadinovic (10'), Curcic (11'), Chesnokov (59'), Asrankulov (82')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kade (26'), Augustin (32' pen.)
Frei (45'), Comas (76'), Augustin (87')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tobol

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League

Basel

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Basel 5-2 Winterthur
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Tobol win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.

Result
Tobol	Draw	Basel
36.63% ( 0)	24.82%	38.55% ( -0)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

-0)

44.83% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

-0)

67.19% (

Tobol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-0)

24.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62%

58.37%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

-0)

23.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

-0)

56.91% (

Score Analysis

Tobol 36.63%

Basel 38.55%

Draw 24.82%

Tobol	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.26% 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 36.63%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.51% 0-1 @ 8.15% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.92% 1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.55%