Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ortaliq Stadion
Tobol2 - 1Honka
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Honka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SJK 1-0 Honka
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Saturday, July 8 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Goals
for
for
13
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Honka |
30.86% ( -0) | 28.74% | 40.4% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.49% ( 0) | 61.51% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.62% ( 0) | 81.37% ( -0) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.89% | 36.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.11% | 72.89% |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.17% ( 0) | 29.83% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.09% ( 0) | 65.91% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Tobol 30.86%
Honka 40.4%
Draw 28.72%
| Tobol | Draw | Honka |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 6.76% 2-0 @ 5.59% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-0 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.96% Total : 30.86% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.72% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 7.88% 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 1.65% 1-4 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.4% |
How you voted: Tobol vs Honka
Tobol
25.0%Draw
25.0%Honka
50.0%8
