Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ortalıq Stadion
Tobol2 - 0Lincoln
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toscano (54'), Ronan (62')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Tobol and Lincoln Red Imps.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 21.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tobol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tobol | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 53.88% | 24.96% | 21.16% |
| Both teams to score 47.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% | 54.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% | 75.52% |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% | 20.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.73% | 52.27% |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.51% | 40.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.9% | 77.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Tobol 53.88%
Lincoln Red Imps 21.16%
Draw 24.95%
| Tobol | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.62% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.68% Total : 53.88% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 5.33% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.29% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.27% Total : 21.16% |
How you voted: Tobol vs Lincoln
Tobol
60.0%Draw
20.0%Lincoln Red Imps
20.0%5
