MX23RW : Monday, November 25 16:41:31| >> :60:283:283:
Lincoln Red Imps
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 12, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 0
Shkupi

Juanfri (32'), Casciaro (69')
Gomez (45+2'), Torilla (56'), Coleing (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Faustin (6'), Brdarovski (35'), Danfa (55'), Cephas (65'), Alvarez (83'), Sheji (87'), Bajrami (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Shkupi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Shkupi 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 5 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shkupi 3-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 5 at 7.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Lincoln Red Imps 1-2 Shkupi

Lincoln Red Imps will need to take risks as they look to turn around a three-goal deficit, but we think that Shkupi will take advantage of any gaps left in behind the home defence to claim a narrow victory and subsequently book their place in the second round of qualifying. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkupi win with a probability of 52.23%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkupi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawShkupi
24.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 52.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.43% (0.013999999999996 0.01)45.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.1% (0.013999999999996 0.01)67.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.89% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (0.004999999999999 0)69.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Shkupi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.44% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.1% (0.010999999999996 0.01)47.89% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 24.16%
    Shkupi 52.22%
    Draw 23.6%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawShkupi
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 6.19%
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 24.16%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.73%
0-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 5.09%
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 52.22%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Shkupi

Lincoln Red Imps
29.7%
Draw
16.2%
Shkupi
54.1%
37
Head to Head
Jul 5, 2022 7.45pm
Shkupi
3-0
Lincoln
Danfa (11'), Adetunji (29'), Chipolina (62' og.)
Margvelashvili (43')
Margvelashvili (54')
rhs 2.0
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