Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tobol in this match.