Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 26, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Lincoln0 - 1Tobol
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lincoln Red Imps and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tobol win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tobol win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tobol in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Tobol |
32.65% ( 0.12) | 25.01% ( -0.04) | 42.34% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.2) | 46.46% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.19) | 68.74% ( -0.19) |
| Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.17) | 27.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.42% ( 0.22) | 62.58% ( -0.22) |
| Tobol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( 0.05) | 21.92% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.81% ( 0.08) | 55.19% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
Lincoln Red Imps 32.65%
Tobol 42.34%
Draw 25.01%
| Lincoln Red Imps | Draw | Tobol |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.34% |
How you voted: Lincoln vs Tobol
Lincoln Red Imps
40.0%Draw
26.7%Tobol
33.3%15
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 3pm
Tobol
2-0
Lincoln
Toscano (54'), Ronan (62')
