MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 20:56:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Luzern
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 23
Mar 4, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swissporarena
Basel

Luzern
0 - 1
Basel


Loretz (28'), Beka (51'), Simani (67'), Chader (72')
Chader (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frei (29' pen.)
Vogel (29'), Lopez (45'), Pelmard (52'), Diouf (67'), Burger (75'), Augustin (85'), Hitz (90+6')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luzern 1-0 Grasshopper
Sunday, February 26 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Basel
Sunday, February 26 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 37.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawBasel
37.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 38.6% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.86% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)41.65% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.95% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)64.05% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.33% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.19% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)55.8% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21.64% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)54.76% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luzern 37.23%
    Basel 38.6%
    Draw 24.15%
LuzernDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 7.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.23%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 8.49% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 38.6%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 7.30pm
Basel
2-3
Luzern
Amdouni (17'), Zeqiri (78')
Pelmard (83')
Schurpf (60'), Jasari (74'), Mbunga-Kimpioka (89')
Diambou (42'), Dorn (65'), Chader (71'), Simani (83')
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Luzern
0-2
Basel

Simani (3')
Males (6' pen.), Fink (87')
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Stocker (3', 73'), Chalov (87')
Stocker (4'), Tavares (18')

Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Luzern
0-3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')
Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 3.30pm
Luzern
1-3
Basel
Cumic (90+1')
Domgjoni (47'), Schurpf (78')
Arthur (3'), Petretta (49'), Palacios (58')
Quintilla (34'), Pelmard (36'), Lopez (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413


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