Swiss Super League | Gameweek 22

Feb 26, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Cornaredo Stadium

Lugano
2 - 2
Basel

Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Hajrizi (90+2'), Hajdari (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Males (74'), Lang (83')
Vogel (4'), Xhaka (31'), Burger (42'), Fink (68'), Lang (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Young Boys 1-1 Lugano
Saturday, February 18 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Basel

All competitions

Swiss Super League

Last Game: Basel 2-0 Trabzonspor
Thursday, February 23 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Basel
35.61% ( -0.08)	24.9% ( -0.08)	39.48% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

0.37)

45.32% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

0.35)

67.66% (

-0.36)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.13)

24.87% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

0.18)

59.48% (

-0.18)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.24)

22.82% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

0.36)

56.53% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Lugano 35.61%

Basel 39.48%

Draw 24.89%

Lugano	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 35.61%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 39.48%