Lugano

1 - 0

Basel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.