Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 11, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
Be'er Sheva3 - 1Lugano
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Hapoel Be'er Sheva and Lugano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 0-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 4 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lugano 1-2 Luzern
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, August 7 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Luzern | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lugano | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Basel | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.11%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hapoel Be'er Sheva | Draw | Lugano |
45.11% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( -0.04) | 31.26% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.13% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
