UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio di Cornaredo

Lugano
0 - 0
Bodo/Glimt

Sabbatini (64'), Bislimi (75'), Croci-Torti (79'), Saipi (90')

Saltnes (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Bodo/Glimt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions

Last Game: Luzern 3-2 Lugano
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bodo/Glimt

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, September 17 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 58.65%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 21.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.78%) and 0-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
21.08% ( -0.1)	20.27% ( -0.02)	58.65% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 62.95% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26% (

-0.06)

33.74% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43% (

-0.06)

55.57% (

0.06)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.12)

28.96% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.15)

64.85% (

0.15)

Bodo/Glimt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

0.01)

11.38% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88% (

0.03)

36.12% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Lugano 21.08%

Bodo/Glimt 58.65%

Draw 20.27%

Lugano	Draw	Bodo/Glimt
2-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.09% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 21.08%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.35% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 58.65%