Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 21, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax
4 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (9', 35'), Hlynsson (64'), Berghuis (87')
Tahirovic (38')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Kramer (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 2-3 Ajax
Sunday, January 14 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-2 Heracles
Friday, January 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Ajax 3-0 RKC Waalwijk

Ajax finally appear to have hit their stride this season, and with momentum growing they should have far too much for a struggling RKC Waalwijk side on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
68.66% ( -0.03)	16.73% ( 0.04)	14.61% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 62.99% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.12% (

-0.24)

27.88% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.4% (

-0.29)

48.59% (

0.29)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.56% (

-0.06)

7.44% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.23% (

-0.17)

26.76% (

0.17)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

-0.17)

31.95% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.6% (

-0.2)

68.4% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Ajax 68.66%

RKC Waalwijk 14.61%

Draw 16.73%

Ajax	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.46% Total : 68.66%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 16.73%	1-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 14.61%