Eredivisie | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Nijmegen1 - 2Ajax
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, November 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Marseille 4-3 Ajax
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: NEC 1-4 Ajax
Given the consistency that NEC have shown in avoiding defeat of late, this may not be one-way traffic. Nevertheless, Ajax have started to score a hatful of goals and we can only see the visitors ultimately prevailing by a wide margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.63%) and 3-2 (5.07%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Ajax |
45.49% ( 3.84) | 20.77% ( -0.02) | 33.74% ( -3.83) |
| Both teams to score 73.28% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
