Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Sittard
1 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Noslin (87')
Voet (72'), Noslin (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lelieveld (30'), Gaari (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Fortuna Sittard and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-3 Ajax
Wednesday, December 6 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fortuna Sittard 2-1 RKC Waalwijk

With both of these bottom-half teams having collected points recently, this feels like an evenly-matched contest. However, we have to back the home side to come through this encounter given their recent two home showings, albeit perhaps by a smaller margin than in those fixtures. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortuna Sittard would win this match.

Result
Fortuna Sittard	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
49.88% ( -0.42)	23.54% ( 0.11)	26.58% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 58.07% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.83% (

-0.28)

43.17% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.43% (

-0.28)

65.56% (

0.28)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.58% (

-0.27)

17.42% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.14% (

-0.47)

47.86% (

0.46)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

0.08)

29.67% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.28% (

0.1)

65.72% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Fortuna Sittard 49.88%

RKC Waalwijk 26.58%

Draw 23.54%

Fortuna Sittard	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.88%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 26.58%