Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 Heracles
With both sides boasting similar amounts of quality and having experienced almost identical campaigns thus far, we anticipate a close and hard-fought encounter on Friday.
Given the high stakes in the fight for survival, both will be desperate to avoid defeat on their return to action, and we see a low-scoring draw as the most likely outcome.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 44.06% . A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.49%) . The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heracles in this match.
Result RKC Waalwijk Draw Heracles 32.18% ( -3.18) 23.75% ( -0.02) 44.06% ( 3.19)
Both teams to score 61.1% ( -0.98)
59.18% ( -0.86) 40.81% ( 0.85)
36.79% ( -0.88) 63.2% ( 0.87)
75.26% ( -2.2) 24.73% ( 2.19)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.71% ( -3.17) 59.28% ( 3.16)
81.18% ( 1.03) 18.81% ( -1.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.75% ( 1.7) 50.24% ( -1.71)
RKC Waalwijk 32.18%
Heracles 44.06%
Draw 23.75%
RKC Waalwijk Draw Heracles 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.44) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.27) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.25) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.18% 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.75% 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.36) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.54) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.64) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.36) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.46) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.24) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.06%
How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Heracles
26
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-22 14:40:54
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