Eredivisie | Gameweek 15

Dec 10, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
2 - 0
Heracles

de Regt (20'), Boutrah (73')
Room (31'), Tielemans (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoogma (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 3-1 Vitesse
Saturday, December 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 0-1 Sparta
Saturday, December 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

With Heracles thrashing Almere City not so long ago, they will back themselves to record another notable win on their travels. However, despite their recent rut, we are backing Vitesse to earn a share of the spoils, the bare minimum that they can realistically afford if they wish to get out of trouble as soon as possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
51.6% ( -0.12)	23% ( 0.07)	25.41% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.81% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.33% (

-0.24)

41.67% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.93% (

-0.24)

64.08% (

0.25)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

-0.13)

16.24% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

-0.24)

45.76% (

0.24)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

-0.08)

29.79% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

-0.1)

65.86% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 51.6%

Heracles 25.41%

Draw 22.99%

Vitesse	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 51.6%	1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.41%