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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | FC Twente |
26.32% ( 0.25) | 23.11% ( 0.11) | 50.56% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.58% ( -0.28) | 41.42% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.18% ( -0.28) | 63.82% ( 0.28) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.04) | 28.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.16% ( 0.05) | 64.84% ( -0.05) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( -0.23) | 16.51% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.74% ( -0.42) | 46.26% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.39% Total : 26.32% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.11% | 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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