MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 07:59:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heracles Almelo

AZ
1 - 1
Heracles

Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heracles

With two wins already under their belt this season, Heracles can afford to play with a certain level of freedom at one of the title contenders. Nevertheless, we expect AZ to cruise to a routine win, further showcasing their credentials to push Feyenoord all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
65.31% (-0.706 -0.71) 18.9% (0.225 0.23) 15.78% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)58.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.206 -0.21)10.41% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.95% (0.449 0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.537 0.54)35.98% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.545 0.54)72.76% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.31%
    Heracles 15.78%
    Draw 18.9%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Heracles
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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