Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
1 - 1
Heracles

Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heracles

With two wins already under their belt this season, Heracles can afford to play with a certain level of freedom at one of the title contenders. Nevertheless, we expect AZ to cruise to a routine win, further showcasing their credentials to push Feyenoord all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
65.31% ( -0.71)	18.9% ( 0.23)	15.78% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.75% (

-0.09)

36.24% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.63% (

-0.1)

58.36% (

0.09)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.59% (

-0.21)

10.41% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.05% (

-0.45)

33.95% (

0.45)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.02% (

0.54)

35.98% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.24% (

0.54)

72.76% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 65.31%

Heracles 15.78%

Draw 18.9%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	Heracles
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 4.18% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.14% 5-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.94% Total : 65.31%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.9%	1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.78%