Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 3.45pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
0 - 3
AZ

Namli (23'), van den Berg (26'), Druijf (40')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lahdo (13'), van Brederode (52'), Pavlidis (90')
Moller Wolfe (63'), van Brederode (75'), Kasius (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles
Sunday, September 17 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 4-3 AZ
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

PEC Zwolle have started to adapt to life back in the Eredivisie after successive defeats at the beginning of the term, and the hosts will be confident of taking advantage of a possibly out-of-sorts AZ side. Alkmaar simply need to produce a response following the loss against Zrinjski on Thursday night, and we believe the visitors will do just that to extend their winning run to five matches in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
35.45% ( -0.23)	25.48% ( -0.04)	39.08% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 55.94% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

0.15)

47.95% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.88% (

0.14)

70.12% (

-0.14)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.8% (

-0.06)

26.2% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.71% (

-0.08)

61.3% (

0.08)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

0.2)

24.2% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

0.29)

58.54% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 35.45%

AZ Alkmaar 39.08%

Draw 25.47%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 35.45%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 9% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.08%