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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
47.72% ( -1.1) | 24.21% ( 0.09) | 28.07% ( 1.01) |
Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.9% ( 0.29) | 45.09% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.56% ( 0.28) | 67.44% ( -0.28) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.99% ( -0.33) | 19.01% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.43% ( -0.55) | 50.57% ( 0.55) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.42% ( 0.9) | 29.57% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.39% ( 1.08) | 65.6% ( -1.08) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.33% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 47.72% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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